Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Kauno Žalgiris to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKauno Žalgiris to win ✗67% · @1.67
Double chanceKauno Žalgiris or draw ✗89% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.72
Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius preview and prediction
The match
Kauno Žalgiris host FK Zalgiris Vilnius in the A Lyga on Sunday 31 May, with kick-off at 12:15 (WAT). Kauno Žalgiris are 1st with 58 points from 32 games (top of the table), while FK Zalgiris Vilnius sit 3rd on 54 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Kauno Žalgiris's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Suduva Marijampole 1–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FK Zalgiris Vilnius's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Hegelmann Litauen 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Kauno Žalgiris arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0–3 Kauno Žalgiris.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Kauno Žalgiris and 0.7 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kauno Žalgiris 67%, draw 22%, FK Zalgiris Vilnius 11%.
Safer route: Kauno Žalgiris or draw (89%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kauno Žalgiris to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kauno Žalgiris 2–0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kauno Žalgiris67%fair 1.49 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.50
FK Zalgiris Vilnius11%fair 9.20 · @4.40
2.80Expected goals
2.06Kauno Žalgiris xG
0.74FK Zalgiris Vilnius xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–013%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Kauno Žalgiris 2.1 – 0.7 FK Zalgiris Vilnius expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
Our pick is Kauno Žalgiris to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
On our numbers Kauno Žalgiris have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FK Zalgiris Vilnius 11%.
How many goals will there be in Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
Our predicted score is Kauno Žalgiris 2–0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
Kauno Žalgiris vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius (A Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
