Value bet: Suduva Marijampole to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTransINVEST Vilnius to win ✗43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.92
TransINVEST Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole preview and prediction
The match
Suduva Marijampole travel to Sirvintu stadionas in the A Lyga on Wednesday 6 May (18:00 WAT) to face TransINVEST Vilnius. TransINVEST Vilnius are 4th with 52 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Suduva Marijampole sit 2nd on 56 points (in the top four).
Form guide
TransINVEST Vilnius's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat FK Trakai 5–0 away. They are scoring freely – 3.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Suduva Marijampole's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Džiugas Telšiai 3–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 March 2026, finished Suduva Marijampole 2–0 TransINVEST Vilnius.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for TransINVEST Vilnius and 1.1 for Suduva Marijampole. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: TransINVEST Vilnius 43%, draw 22%, Suduva Marijampole 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Suduva Marijampole to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: TransINVEST Vilnius 1–1 Suduva Marijampole. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
TransINVEST Vilnius43%fair 2.31 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.20
Suduva Marijampole35%fair 2.88 · @3.10
2.47Expected goals
1.33TransINVEST Vilnius xG
1.14Suduva Marijampole xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–19%
0–08%
2–07%
From our goals model: TransINVEST Vilnius 1.3 – 1.1 Suduva Marijampole expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for TransINVEST Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win TransINVEST Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole?
On our numbers TransINVEST Vilnius have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Suduva Marijampole 35%.
How many goals will there be in TransINVEST Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for TransINVEST Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole?
Our predicted score is TransINVEST Vilnius 1–1 Suduva Marijampole, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is TransINVEST Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole?
TransINVEST Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole (A Lyga) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Sirvintu stadionas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
