Kauno Žalgiris vs Džiugas Telšiai preview and prediction
The match
Kauno Žalgiris host Džiugas Telšiai in the A Lyga on Tuesday 5 May, with kick-off at 16:45 (WAT). Kauno Žalgiris are 1st with 58 points from 32 games (top of the table), while Džiugas Telšiai sit 6th on 42 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kauno Žalgiris's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Banga 2–2 away. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Džiugas Telšiai's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Hegelmann Litauen 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kauno Žalgiris arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 March 2026, finished Džiugas Telšiai 1–2 Kauno Žalgiris.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Kauno Žalgiris and 0.9 for Džiugas Telšiai. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kauno Žalgiris 64%, draw 21%, Džiugas Telšiai 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Kauno Žalgiris 2–0 Džiugas Telšiai. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kauno Žalgiris64%fair 1.57 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @4.10
Džiugas Telšiai16%fair 6.38 · @6.60
2.95Expected goals
2.05Kauno Žalgiris xG
0.90Džiugas Telšiai xG
54%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Kauno Žalgiris 2.1 – 0.9 Džiugas Telšiai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kauno Žalgiris vs Džiugas Telšiai?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kauno Žalgiris vs Džiugas Telšiai?
On our numbers Kauno Žalgiris have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Džiugas Telšiai 16%.
How many goals will there be in Kauno Žalgiris vs Džiugas Telšiai?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kauno Žalgiris vs Džiugas Telšiai?
Our predicted score is Kauno Žalgiris 2–0 Džiugas Telšiai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Kauno Žalgiris vs Džiugas Telšiai?
Kauno Žalgiris vs Džiugas Telšiai (A Lyga) kicks off on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
