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A Lyga · Lithuania · Siauliai central stadium
Sat 2 May 2026

Šiauliai vs Suduva Marijampole prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.30

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSuduva Marijampole to win58% · @1.80
Double chanceSuduva Marijampole or draw81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–115% · fair 6.76

Šiauliai vs Suduva Marijampole preview and prediction

The match

Šiauliai host Suduva Marijampole in the A Lyga on Saturday 2 May, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Siauliai central stadium. Šiauliai are 9th with 24 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Suduva Marijampole sit 2nd on 56 points (in the top four). A gap of 32 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Šiauliai's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Jonava 4–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Suduva Marijampole's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Džiugas Telšiai 3–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Suduva Marijampole arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished Suduva Marijampole 0–0 Šiauliai.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.8 for Šiauliai and 1.6 for Suduva Marijampole. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 53%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Šiauliai 0–1 Suduva Marijampole. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Šiauliai19%fair 5.22 · @4.00
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.35
Suduva Marijampole58%fair 1.74 · @1.80
2.38Expected goals
0.78Šiauliai xG
1.59Suduva Marijampole xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–115%
0–212%
1–112%
0–09%
1–29%
1–07%

From our goals model: Šiauliai 0.8 – 1.6 Suduva Marijampole expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSuduva Marijampole to win58%1.741.80
Double chanceSuduva Marijampole or draw81%1.241.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score53%1.871.77
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals70%1.431.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals55%1.831.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals75%1.331.30
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Suduva Marijampole / FT Suduva Marijampole35%2.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–115%6.76–

Form

Šiauliai – last 6

WLDLDD
29 Apr@ Jonava4–0W
26 Aprvs TransINVEST Vilnius0–4L
20 Mar@ FK Trakai1–1D
15 Marvs Kauno Žalgiris0–5L
11 Mar@ Hegelmann Litauen1–1D
1 Mar@ Suduva Marijampole0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Suduva Marijampole – last 6

WWLWDD
19 Aprvs Džiugas Telšiai3–2W
3 Aprvs FK Trakai5–0W
10 Mar@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius0–1L
7 Marvs TransINVEST Vilnius2–0W
1 Marvs Šiauliai0–0D
22 Feb@ Panevėžys0–0D
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026Suduva Marijampole v Šiauliai0–0
Šiauliai vs Suduva Marijampole head-to-head page →

A Lyga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kauno Žalgiris3216106+3758
2Suduva Marijampole3215116+1156
3FK Zalgiris Vilnius3216610+1554
4TransINVEST Vilnius3215710+1252
5Banga3211912+142
6Džiugas Telšiai3211912-542
7Panevėžys3211516-1438
8Hegelmann Litauen3241414-2526
9Šiauliai325918-3224
10FK Trakai000000

More A Lyga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Šiauliai vs Suduva Marijampole?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Šiauliai vs Suduva Marijampole?

On our numbers Šiauliai have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Suduva Marijampole 58%.

How many goals will there be in Šiauliai vs Suduva Marijampole?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Šiauliai vs Suduva Marijampole?

Our predicted score is Šiauliai 0–1 Suduva Marijampole, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Šiauliai vs Suduva Marijampole?

Šiauliai vs Suduva Marijampole (A Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Siauliai central stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.