Double chanceSuduva Marijampole or draw ✓92% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.28
Suduva Marijampole vs FK Trakai preview and prediction
The match
The A Lyga sees Suduva Marijampole take on FK Trakai on Friday 3 April, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Marijampole Football Arena. Suduva Marijampole are 2nd with 56 points from 32 games (in the top four), while FK Trakai sit 10th on 0 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 56 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Suduva Marijampole's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FK Trakai's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Šiauliai 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Suduva Marijampole arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.6 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.6 for Suduva Marijampole and 0.3 for FK Trakai. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Suduva Marijampole 70%, draw 22%, FK Trakai 8%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Suduva Marijampole to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Suduva Marijampole 1–0 FK Trakai. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Suduva Marijampole70%fair 1.42 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @4.00
FK Trakai8%fair 12.50 · @8.00
1.92Expected goals
1.59Suduva Marijampole xG
0.33FK Trakai xG
44%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–023%
2–019%
0–015%
3–010%
1–18%
2–16%
From our goals model: Suduva Marijampole 1.6 – 0.3 FK Trakai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Suduva Marijampole to win✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Double chance
Suduva Marijampole or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Suduva Marijampole / FT Suduva Marijampole✓
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
23%
4.28
–
Form
Suduva Marijampole – last 5
LWDDW
10 Mar
@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs TransINVEST Vilnius
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Šiauliai
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Panevėžys
0–0
D
14 Feb
vs BFC Daugavpils
5–3
W
1.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
FK Trakai – last 6
DLLLLL
20 Mar
vs Šiauliai
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Panevėžys
1–2
L
11 Mar
vs Džiugas Telšiai
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Banga
0–5
L
1 Mar
@ TransINVEST Vilnius
0–3
L
23 Feb
vs Kauno Žalgiris
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Suduva Marijampole and FK Trakai.
What is the prediction for Suduva Marijampole vs FK Trakai?
Our pick is Suduva Marijampole to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Suduva Marijampole vs FK Trakai?
On our numbers Suduva Marijampole have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FK Trakai 8%.
How many goals will there be in Suduva Marijampole vs FK Trakai?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Suduva Marijampole vs FK Trakai?
Our predicted score is Suduva Marijampole 1–0 FK Trakai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Suduva Marijampole vs FK Trakai?
Suduva Marijampole vs FK Trakai (A Lyga) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Marijampole Football Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
