Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultŠiauliai to win ✗48% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.79
FK Trakai vs Šiauliai preview and prediction
The match
Šiauliai travel to LFF stadionas in the A Lyga on Friday 20 March (18:00 WAT) to face FK Trakai. FK Trakai are 10th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom three), while Šiauliai sit 9th on 24 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FK Trakai's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Panevėžys 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
Šiauliai's last 4: LDDD Most recently they lost to Kauno Žalgiris 0–5 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Šiauliai arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for FK Trakai and 1.6 for Šiauliai. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Trakai 31%, draw 21%, Šiauliai 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.73 – 62% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: FK Trakai 1–1 Šiauliai. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Trakai31%fair 3.19 · @2.80
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.25
Šiauliai48%fair 2.10 · @2.20
2.81Expected goals
1.23FK Trakai xG
1.59Šiauliai xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: FK Trakai 1.2 – 1.6 Šiauliai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Šiauliai to win✗
48%
2.10
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.73 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Šiauliai / FT Šiauliai✗
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.79
–
Form
FK Trakai – last 5
LLLLL
15 Mar
@ Panevėžys
1–2
L
11 Mar
vs Džiugas Telšiai
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Banga
0–5
L
1 Mar
@ TransINVEST Vilnius
0–3
L
23 Feb
vs Kauno Žalgiris
1–2
L
0.4Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Šiauliai – last 4
LDDD
15 Mar
vs Kauno Žalgiris
0–5
L
11 Mar
@ Hegelmann Litauen
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Suduva Marijampole
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ TransINVEST Vilnius
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Trakai and Šiauliai.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FK Trakai vs Šiauliai?
On our numbers FK Trakai have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Šiauliai 48%.
How many goals will there be in FK Trakai vs Šiauliai?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Trakai vs Šiauliai?
Our predicted score is FK Trakai 1–1 Šiauliai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FK Trakai vs Šiauliai?
FK Trakai vs Šiauliai (A Lyga) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at LFF stadionas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
