Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKauno Žalgiris to win ✓66% · @1.32
Double chanceKauno Žalgiris or draw ✓89% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.48
Šiauliai vs Kauno Žalgiris preview and prediction
The match
The A Lyga sees Šiauliai take on Kauno Žalgiris on Sunday 15 March, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Siauliai central stadium. Šiauliai are 9th with 24 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Kauno Žalgiris sit 1st on 58 points (top of the table). A gap of 34 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Šiauliai's last 3: DDD Most recently they drew with Hegelmann Litauen 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Kauno Žalgiris's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Panevėžys 4–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kauno Žalgiris arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.7 for Šiauliai and 2.0 for Kauno Žalgiris. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Šiauliai 11%, draw 23%, Kauno Žalgiris 66%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Šiauliai 0–1 Kauno Žalgiris. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Šiauliai11%fair 9.40 · @7.70
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @4.45
Kauno Žalgiris66%fair 1.51 · @1.32
2.70Expected goals
0.71Šiauliai xG
2.00Kauno Žalgiris xG
45%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–213%
1–19%
1–29%
0–39%
0–07%
From our goals model: Šiauliai 0.7 – 2.0 Kauno Žalgiris expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kauno Žalgiris to win✓
66%
1.51
1.32
Double chance
Kauno Žalgiris or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.48
Half-time result
Kauno Žalgiris ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kauno Žalgiris / FT Kauno Žalgiris✓
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.48
–
Form
Šiauliai – last 3
DDD
11 Mar
@ Hegelmann Litauen
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Suduva Marijampole
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ TransINVEST Vilnius
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Kauno Žalgiris – last 5
WWWWW
10 Mar
vs Panevėžys
4–0
W
7 Mar
@ Džiugas Telšiai
2–1
W
28 Feb
vs Banga
1–0
W
23 Feb
@ FK Trakai
2–1
W
16 Feb
vs Panevėžys
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Šiauliai and Kauno Žalgiris.
What is the prediction for Šiauliai vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Šiauliai vs Kauno Žalgiris?
On our numbers Šiauliai have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kauno Žalgiris 66%.
How many goals will there be in Šiauliai vs Kauno Žalgiris?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Šiauliai vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Our predicted score is Šiauliai 0–1 Kauno Žalgiris, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Šiauliai vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Šiauliai vs Kauno Žalgiris (A Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Siauliai central stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
