Suduva Marijampole vs Šiauliai prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Suduva Marijampole to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSuduva Marijampole to win ✗63% · @1.55
Double chanceSuduva Marijampole or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.94
Suduva Marijampole vs Šiauliai preview and prediction
The match
Suduva Marijampole host Šiauliai in the A Lyga on Sunday 1 March, with kick-off at 13:15 (WAT) at Marijampole Football Arena. Suduva Marijampole are 2nd with 56 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Šiauliai sit 9th on 24 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 32 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Suduva Marijampole and 0.5 for Šiauliai. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Suduva Marijampole 63%, draw 23%, Šiauliai 14%.
Safer route: Suduva Marijampole or draw (86%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Suduva Marijampole to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Suduva Marijampole 1–0 Šiauliai. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Suduva Marijampole63%fair 1.59 · @1.55
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.80
Šiauliai14%fair 7.31 · @5.00
2.00Expected goals
1.49Suduva Marijampole xG
0.51Šiauliai xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–014%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Suduva Marijampole 1.5 – 0.5 Šiauliai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Suduva Marijampole to win✗
63%
1.59
1.55
Double chance
Suduva Marijampole or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Suduva Marijampole / FT Suduva Marijampole✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
4.94
–
Form
Suduva Marijampole – last 2
DW
22 Feb
@ Panevėžys
0–0
D
14 Feb
vs BFC Daugavpils
5–3
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Šiauliai – last 1
D
22 Feb
@ TransINVEST Vilnius
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Suduva Marijampole and Šiauliai.
What is the prediction for Suduva Marijampole vs Šiauliai?
Our pick is Suduva Marijampole to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Suduva Marijampole vs Šiauliai?
On our numbers Suduva Marijampole have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Šiauliai 14%.
How many goals will there be in Suduva Marijampole vs Šiauliai?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Suduva Marijampole vs Šiauliai?
Our predicted score is Suduva Marijampole 1–0 Šiauliai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Suduva Marijampole vs Šiauliai?
Suduva Marijampole vs Šiauliai (A Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Marijampole Football Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
