Hegelmann Litauen vs Džiugas Telšiai prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Hegelmann Litauen or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Hegelmann Litauen to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultHegelmann Litauen to win57% · @1.95
Double chanceHegelmann Litauen or draw79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.10
Hegelmann Litauen vs Džiugas Telšiai preview and prediction
The match
Džiugas Telšiai travel to Raudondvario stadionas in the A Lyga on Saturday 28 February (18:00 WAT) to face Hegelmann Litauen. Hegelmann Litauen are 8th with 26 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Džiugas Telšiai sit 6th on 42 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Hegelmann Litauen and 1.1 for Džiugas Telšiai. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Hegelmann Litauen or draw (79%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Hegelmann Litauen to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hegelmann Litauen or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Hegelmann Litauen 1–1 Džiugas Telšiai. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hegelmann Litauen57%fair 1.76 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.35
Džiugas Telšiai21%fair 4.87 · @3.45
3.05Expected goals
1.95Hegelmann Litauen xG
1.10Džiugas Telšiai xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Hegelmann Litauen 2.0 – 1.1 Džiugas Telšiai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hegelmann Litauen to win
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Hegelmann Litauen or draw
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.74
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
54%
1.87
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
68%
1.48
1.30
Half-time result
Hegelmann Litauen ahead at half-time
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hegelmann Litauen / FT Hegelmann Litauen
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.10
–
Form
Hegelmann Litauen – last 2
LW
22 Feb
vs Banga
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Grobiņa
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Džiugas Telšiai – last 1
W
21 Feb
@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hegelmann Litauen and Džiugas Telšiai.
What is the prediction for Hegelmann Litauen vs Džiugas Telšiai?
Our pick is Hegelmann Litauen or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hegelmann Litauen vs Džiugas Telšiai?
On our numbers Hegelmann Litauen have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Džiugas Telšiai 21%.
How many goals will there be in Hegelmann Litauen vs Džiugas Telšiai?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hegelmann Litauen vs Džiugas Telšiai?
Our predicted score is Hegelmann Litauen 1–1 Džiugas Telšiai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Hegelmann Litauen vs Džiugas Telšiai?
Hegelmann Litauen vs Džiugas Telšiai (A Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Raudondvario stadionas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.