Value bet: FK Zalgiris Vilnius to win @ 1.77 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFK Zalgiris Vilnius to win ✓61% · @1.77
Double chanceFK Zalgiris Vilnius or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.70
FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Panevėžys preview and prediction
The match
The A Lyga sees FK Zalgiris Vilnius take on Panevėžys on Friday 27 February, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at LFF stadionas. FK Zalgiris Vilnius are 3rd with 54 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Panevėžys sit 7th on 38 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius and 0.8 for Panevėžys. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 61%, draw 22%, Panevėžys 17%.
Safer route: FK Zalgiris Vilnius or draw (83%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Value angle: FK Zalgiris Vilnius to win at 1.77 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2–0 Panevėžys. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Zalgiris Vilnius61%fair 1.64 · @1.77
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.45
Panevėžys17%fair 6.00 · @4.00
2.64Expected goals
1.81FK Zalgiris Vilnius xG
0.82Panevėžys xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1.8 – 0.8 Panevėžys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Zalgiris Vilnius to win✓
61%
1.64
1.77 ▲
Double chance
FK Zalgiris Vilnius or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.36
Half-time result
FK Zalgiris Vilnius ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Zalgiris Vilnius / FT FK Zalgiris Vilnius✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.70
–
Form
FK Zalgiris Vilnius – last 2
LW
21 Feb
vs Džiugas Telšiai
2–3
L
14 Feb
vs Ogre United
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Panevėžys – last 2
DL
22 Feb
vs Suduva Marijampole
0–0
D
16 Feb
@ Kauno Žalgiris
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Zalgiris Vilnius and Panevėžys.
What is the prediction for FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Panevėžys?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Panevėžys?
On our numbers FK Zalgiris Vilnius have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Panevėžys 17%.
How many goals will there be in FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Panevėžys?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Panevėžys?
Our predicted score is FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2–0 Panevėžys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Panevėžys?
FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Panevėžys (A Lyga) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at LFF stadionas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
