Double chanceUnion St. Gilloise or draw ✓90% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.86
Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht preview and prediction
The match
Union St. Gilloise host Anderlecht in the Cup on Thursday 14 May, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at King Baudouin Stadium.
Form guide
Union St. Gilloise's last 3: DWD Most recently they drew with Gent 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Anderlecht's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Gent 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 6. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Union St. Gilloise arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.0 for Union St. Gilloise and 0.6 for Anderlecht. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union St. Gilloise 68%, draw 22%, Anderlecht 10%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Union St. Gilloise to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Union St. Gilloise 1–0 Anderlecht. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union St. Gilloise68%fair 1.47 · @1.55
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.85
Anderlecht10%fair 10.38 · @6.00
2.61Expected goals
1.98Union St. Gilloise xG
0.63Anderlecht xG
49%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Union St. Gilloise 2.0 – 0.6 Anderlecht expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union St. Gilloise to win✗
68%
1.47
1.55 ▲
Double chance
Union St. Gilloise or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.35
Half-time result
Union St. Gilloise ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union St. Gilloise / FT Union St. Gilloise✗
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.86
–
Form
Union St. Gilloise – last 3
DWD
22 Apr
vs Gent
0–0
D
12 Apr
@ KV Mechelen
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ KVC Westerlo
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Anderlecht – last 6
DLLLDW
10 May
@ Gent
1–1
D
23 Apr
@ St. Truiden
0–2
L
6 Apr
@ Club Brugge KV
2–4
L
15 Mar
@ KV Mechelen
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Club Brugge KV
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Zulte Waregem
4–2
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union St. Gilloise and Anderlecht.
What is the prediction for Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht?
Our pick is Union St. Gilloise to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht?
On our numbers Union St. Gilloise have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Anderlecht 10%.
How many goals will there be in Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht?
Our predicted score is Union St. Gilloise 1–0 Anderlecht, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht?
Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at King Baudouin Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
