Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCruz Azul to win ✗62% · @1.57
Double chanceCruz Azul or draw ✓82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Cruz Azul vs Monterrey preview and prediction
The match
The CONCACAF Champions League sees Cruz Azul take on Monterrey on Wednesday 18 March, kicking off at 04:00 (WAT) at Estadio Cuauhtemoc.
Form guide
Cruz Azul's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Monterrey's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with FC Juarez 2–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Cruz Azul arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 March 2026, finished Monterrey 2–3 Cruz Azul. Across their last 2 meetings Cruz Azul have won 2, Monterrey 0, with 0 draws and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Cruz Azul and 1.1 for Monterrey. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.73 – 62% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Cruz Azul 2–1 Monterrey. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cruz Azul62%fair 1.60 · @1.57
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @4.20
Monterrey18%fair 5.55 · @5.20
3.32Expected goals
2.21Cruz Azul xG
1.11Monterrey xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Cruz Azul 2.2 – 1.1 Monterrey expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cruz Azul vs Monterrey?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cruz Azul vs Monterrey?
On our numbers Cruz Azul have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Monterrey 18%.
How many goals will there be in Cruz Azul vs Monterrey?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruz Azul vs Monterrey?
Our predicted score is Cruz Azul 2–1 Monterrey, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Cruz Azul vs Monterrey?
Cruz Azul vs Monterrey (CONCACAF Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cuauhtemoc.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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