Atlético Choloma vs CD Motagua prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
CD Motagua to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCD Motagua to win ✓64% · @1.44
Double chanceCD Motagua or draw ✓86% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗10% · fair 9.90
Atlético Choloma vs CD Motagua preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Nacional sees Atlético Choloma take on CD Motagua on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 02:30 (WAT) at Estadio Ruben Deras. Atlético Choloma are 9th with 14 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while CD Motagua sit 4th on 28 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atlético Choloma's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to CD Olimpia 0–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
CD Motagua's last 4: DWWD Most recently they drew with Olancho 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
CD Motagua arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.0 for Atlético Choloma and 2.2 for CD Motagua. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlético Choloma 14%, draw 21%, CD Motagua 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CD Motagua to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Atlético Choloma 0–2 CD Motagua. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlético Choloma14%fair 6.92 · @6.00
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @4.20
CD Motagua64%fair 1.56 · @1.44
3.18Expected goals
0.98Atlético Choloma xG
2.21CD Motagua xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Atlético Choloma 1.0 – 2.2 CD Motagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CD Motagua to win✓
64%
1.56
1.44
Double chance
CD Motagua or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.53
Half-time result
CD Motagua ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CD Motagua / FT CD Motagua✗
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
10%
9.90
–
Form
Atlético Choloma – last 3
LWL
26 Feb
@ CD Olimpia
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Victoria
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Real Espana
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
CD Motagua – last 4
DWWD
2 Mar
vs Olancho
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Juticalpa
2–1
W
23 Feb
@ CD Olimpia
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs CD Marathon
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Choloma and CD Motagua.
What is the prediction for Atlético Choloma vs CD Motagua?
Our pick is CD Motagua to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Atlético Choloma vs CD Motagua?
On our numbers Atlético Choloma have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and CD Motagua 64%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Choloma vs CD Motagua?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Choloma vs CD Motagua?
Our predicted score is Atlético Choloma 0–2 CD Motagua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Atlético Choloma vs CD Motagua?
Atlético Choloma vs CD Motagua (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ruben Deras.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
