Value bet: Arsenal Tula to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultArsenal Tula to win ✗59% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.98
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.32
Arsenal Tula vs Volga Ulyanovsk preview and prediction
The match
Volga Ulyanovsk travel to Stadion Arsenal in the First League on Monday 9 March (15:00 WAT) to face Arsenal Tula. Arsenal Tula are 12th with 19 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Volga Ulyanovsk sit 9th on 22 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Arsenal Tula and 0.8 for Volga Ulyanovsk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arsenal Tula 59%, draw 20%, Volga Ulyanovsk 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.98.
Value angle: Arsenal Tula to win at 1.91 – 59% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Arsenal Tula 1–1 Volga Ulyanovsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arsenal Tula59%fair 1.70 · @1.91
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.22
Volga Ulyanovsk21%fair 4.76 · @4.10
2.49Expected goals
1.65Arsenal Tula xG
0.84Volga Ulyanovsk xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–111%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Arsenal Tula 1.7 – 0.8 Volga Ulyanovsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arsenal Tula to win✗
59%
1.70
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
1.98 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arsenal Tula / FT Arsenal Tula✗
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.32
–
Form
Arsenal Tula – last 2
LD
5 Mar
vs Lokomotiv
1–2
L
27 Feb
@ KAMAZ
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Volga Ulyanovsk – last 2
DW
1 Mar
@ Enisey
1–1
D
18 Feb
@ Rotor Volgograd
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arsenal Tula and Volga Ulyanovsk.
What is the prediction for Arsenal Tula vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Arsenal Tula vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
On our numbers Arsenal Tula have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Volga Ulyanovsk 21%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tula vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal Tula vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
Our predicted score is Arsenal Tula 1–1 Volga Ulyanovsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Arsenal Tula vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
Arsenal Tula vs Volga Ulyanovsk (First League) kicks off on Monday 9 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Arsenal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
