Torpedo Moskva vs Rodina Moskva prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.56 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.56Odds
2
Value bet: Rodina Moskva to win @ 2.51 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRodina Moskva to win ✓43% · @2.51
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.64
Torpedo Moskva vs Rodina Moskva preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Torpedo Moskva take on Rodina Moskva on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Arena Khimki.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Torpedo Moskva and 1.2 for Rodina Moskva. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Torpedo Moskva 34%, draw 23%, Rodina Moskva 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Rodina Moskva to win at 2.51 – 43% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.56. Predicted score: Torpedo Moskva 1–1 Rodina Moskva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Torpedo Moskva34%fair 2.98 · @2.82
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.06
Rodina Moskva43%fair 2.32 · @2.51
2.22Expected goals
1.01Torpedo Moskva xG
1.21Rodina Moskva xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Torpedo Moskva 1.0 – 1.2 Rodina Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rodina Moskva to win✓
43%
2.32
2.51 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.39
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.56
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rodina Moskva / FT Rodina Moskva✓
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.64
–
Form
Torpedo Moskva – last 1
W
1 Mar
@ Chernomorets
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Rodina Moskva – last 1
W
2 Mar
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torpedo Moskva and Rodina Moskva.
What is the prediction for Torpedo Moskva vs Rodina Moskva?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.56.
Who will win Torpedo Moskva vs Rodina Moskva?
On our numbers Torpedo Moskva have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rodina Moskva 43%.
How many goals will there be in Torpedo Moskva vs Rodina Moskva?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torpedo Moskva vs Rodina Moskva?
Our predicted score is Torpedo Moskva 1–1 Rodina Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Torpedo Moskva vs Rodina Moskva?
Torpedo Moskva vs Rodina Moskva (First League) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Khimki.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
