Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.46 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.46Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.99 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultChelyabinsk to win ✗42% · @2.41
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.35
Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma preview and prediction
The match
Chelyabinsk host Spartak Kostroma in the First League on Saturday 7 March, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Central Stadium. Chelyabinsk are 11th with 21 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Spartak Kostroma sit 6th on 28 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Chelyabinsk's last 4: WWLL Most recently they beat FK Sokol Saratov 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Chelyabinsk and 1.1 for Spartak Kostroma. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.99 – 55% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.46. Predicted score: Chelyabinsk 1–1 Spartak Kostroma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chelyabinsk42%fair 2.41 · @2.41
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.20
Spartak Kostroma34%fair 2.92 · @2.85
2.31Expected goals
1.23Chelyabinsk xG
1.08Spartak Kostroma xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Chelyabinsk 1.2 – 1.1 Spartak Kostroma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelyabinsk to win✗
42%
2.41
2.41
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.99 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.46
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.49
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.26
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelyabinsk / FT Chelyabinsk✗
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.35
–
Form
Chelyabinsk – last 4
WWLL
28 Feb
@ FK Sokol Saratov
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Zenit 2
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Krylia Sovetov
2–3
L
13 Feb
vs KAMAZ
2–5
L
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Spartak Kostroma
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelyabinsk and Spartak Kostroma.
What is the prediction for Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.
Who will win Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma?
On our numbers Chelyabinsk have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Spartak Kostroma 34%.
How many goals will there be in Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma?
Our predicted score is Chelyabinsk 1–1 Spartak Kostroma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma?
Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma (First League) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Central Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chernomorets3
Chayka1
FK Sokol Saratov0