Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultArges Pitesti to win ✗58% · @1.36
Double chanceArges Pitesti or draw ✓84% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.41
Arges Pitesti vs Gloria Bistriţa preview and prediction
The match
Gloria Bistriţa travel to face Arges Pitesti in the Cupa României on Wednesday 4 March (16:30 WAT).
Form guide
Arges Pitesti's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Dinamo Bucuresti 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.6 for Arges Pitesti and 1.0 for Gloria Bistriţa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 52% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Arges Pitesti 1–0 Gloria Bistriţa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arges Pitesti58%fair 1.74 · @1.36
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @4.10
Gloria Bistriţa16%fair 6.10 · @8.00
2.60Expected goals
1.60Arges Pitesti xG
1.00Gloria Bistriţa xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Arges Pitesti 1.6 – 1.0 Gloria Bistriţa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arges Pitesti to win✗
58%
1.74
1.36
Double chance
Arges Pitesti or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arges Pitesti / FT Arges Pitesti✗
31%
3.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.41
–
Form
Arges Pitesti – last 3
WWL
1 Mar
@ Dinamo Bucuresti
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Farul Constanta
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Petrolul Ploiesti
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gloria Bistriţa – last 2
DW
28 Feb
@ FC Bacau
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arges Pitesti and Gloria Bistriţa.
What is the prediction for Arges Pitesti vs Gloria Bistriţa?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Arges Pitesti vs Gloria Bistriţa?
On our numbers Arges Pitesti have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gloria Bistriţa 16%.
How many goals will there be in Arges Pitesti vs Gloria Bistriţa?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arges Pitesti vs Gloria Bistriţa?
Our predicted score is Arges Pitesti 1–0 Gloria Bistriţa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Arges Pitesti vs Gloria Bistriţa?
Arges Pitesti vs Gloria Bistriţa (Cupa României) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Universitatea Craiova1
CFR 1907 Cluj1