Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaranhão to win ✗60% · @1.62
Double chanceMaranhão or draw ✓80% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.65
Maranhão vs IAPE preview and prediction
The match
IAPE travel to face Maranhão in the Maranhense on Sunday 22 February (20:00 WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Maranhão and 0.6 for IAPE. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maranhão 60%, draw 20%, IAPE 20%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Maranhão 1–0 IAPE. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maranhão60%fair 1.66 · @1.62
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.40
IAPE20%fair 5.04 · @5.00
2.11Expected goals
1.46Maranhão xG
0.65IAPE xG
43%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–013%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Maranhão 1.5 – 0.6 IAPE expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maranhão to win✗
60%
1.66
1.62
Double chance
Maranhão or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maranhão / FT Maranhão✗
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.65
–
Form
Maranhão
No recent results on record.
IAPE – last 1
L
19 Feb
@ Santa Catarina
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maranhão and IAPE.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Maranhão vs IAPE?
On our numbers Maranhão have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and IAPE 20%.
How many goals will there be in Maranhão vs IAPE?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maranhão vs IAPE?
Our predicted score is Maranhão 1–0 IAPE, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Maranhão vs IAPE?
Maranhão vs IAPE (Maranhense) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Maranhense · Brazil
