Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDrita to win ✓68% · @1.48
Double chanceDrita or draw ✓88% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.82
Llapi vs Drita preview and prediction
The match
The Superliga sees Llapi take on Drita on Sunday 22 February, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Llapi are 9th with 8 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Drita sit 3rd on 24 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.7 for Llapi and 1.9 for Drita. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Llapi 12%, draw 20%, Drita 68%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Llapi 0–1 Drita. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Llapi12%fair 8.08 · @6.20
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.75
Drita68%fair 1.47 · @1.48
2.57Expected goals
0.65Llapi xG
1.92Drita xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–39%
0–08%
From our goals model: Llapi 0.7 – 1.9 Drita expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Drita to win✓
68%
1.47
1.48
Double chance
Drita or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Drita ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Drita / FT Drita✗
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.82
–
Form
Llapi – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Prishtina
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Drita – last 2
LW
19 Feb
vs Celje
2–3
L
14 Feb
vs Drenica Skënderaj
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Llapi and Drita.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Llapi vs Drita?
On our numbers Llapi have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Drita 68%.
How many goals will there be in Llapi vs Drita?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Llapi vs Drita?
Our predicted score is Llapi 0–1 Drita, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Llapi vs Drita?
Llapi vs Drita (Superliga) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
