Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFK Sarajevo to win ✗58% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.60
FK Sarajevo vs Velež preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees FK Sarajevo take on Velež on Wednesday 25 February, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.3 for FK Sarajevo and 0.7 for Velež. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Sarajevo 58%, draw 16%, Velež 26%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FK Sarajevo to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FK Sarajevo 1–0 Velež. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Sarajevo58%fair 1.71 · @1.83
Draw16%fair 6.22 · @3.70
Velež26%fair 3.91 · @3.40
2.00Expected goals
1.32FK Sarajevo xG
0.68Velež xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
0–014%
1–112%
2–012%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: FK Sarajevo 1.3 – 0.7 Velež expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Sarajevo to win✗
58%
1.71
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.33 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Sarajevo / FT FK Sarajevo✗
31%
3.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.60
–
Form
FK Sarajevo – last 1
W
15 Feb
@ Sloga Doboj
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Velež – last 2
WL
21 Feb
vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Siroki Brijeg
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Sarajevo and Velež.
Our pick is FK Sarajevo to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win FK Sarajevo vs Velež?
On our numbers FK Sarajevo have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Velež 26%.
How many goals will there be in FK Sarajevo vs Velež?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Sarajevo vs Velež?
Our predicted score is FK Sarajevo 1–0 Velež, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is FK Sarajevo vs Velež?
FK Sarajevo vs Velež (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.