Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultManagua to win ✗59% · @1.60
Double chanceManagua or draw ✓80% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.14
Managua vs Matagalpa preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Division sees Managua take on Matagalpa on Monday 16 February, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT). Managua are 1st with 41 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Matagalpa sit 10th on 10 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 31 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Managua and 0.8 for Matagalpa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 55%.
Our pre-match pick was Managua to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Managua 1–0 Matagalpa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Managua59%fair 1.69 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.60
Matagalpa20%fair 4.96 · @4.80
2.47Expected goals
1.66Managua xG
0.81Matagalpa xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Managua 1.7 – 0.8 Matagalpa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Managua to win✗
59%
1.69
1.60
Double chance
Managua or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Managua / FT Managua✗
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.14
–
Form
Managua – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ Walter Ferretti
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Matagalpa
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Managua and Matagalpa.
Our pick is Managua to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Managua vs Matagalpa?
On our numbers Managua have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Matagalpa 20%.
How many goals will there be in Managua vs Matagalpa?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Managua vs Matagalpa?
Our predicted score is Managua 1–0 Matagalpa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Managua vs Matagalpa?
Managua vs Matagalpa (Primera Division) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
