Langwarrin vs Melbourne Knights prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Melbourne Knights or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Melbourne Knights to win @ 1.62 – our chance 67% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMelbourne Knights to win ✓67% · @1.62
Double chanceMelbourne Knights or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.08
Langwarrin vs Melbourne Knights preview and prediction
The match
The Victoria NPL 2 sees Langwarrin take on Melbourne Knights on Saturday 9 May, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Langwarrin's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Western United II 3–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Melbourne Knights's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Port Melbourne 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Melbourne Knights arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.9 for Langwarrin and 2.2 for Melbourne Knights. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Melbourne Knights or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Melbourne Knights to win at 1.62 – 67% on our numbers against 62% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Melbourne Knights or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Langwarrin 0–2 Melbourne Knights. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Langwarrin13%fair 7.45 · @4.00
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.90
Melbourne Knights67%fair 1.50 · @1.62
3.09Expected goals
0.89Langwarrin xG
2.20Melbourne Knights xG
59%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Langwarrin 0.9 – 2.2 Melbourne Knights expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Melbourne Knights to win✓
67%
1.50
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Melbourne Knights or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Melbourne Knights ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Melbourne Knights / FT Melbourne Knights✓
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
9.08
–
Form
Langwarrin – last 6
WLDLDL
2 May
vs Western United II
3–2
W
24 Apr
@ Brunswick City
1–3
L
17 Apr
vs Bulleen Lions
2–2
D
10 Apr
@ Brunswick Juventus FC
0–3
L
30 Mar
@ Melbourne Victory II
3–3
D
20 Mar
@ Eltham Redbacks FC
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Melbourne Knights – last 6
WLDWWL
1 May
vs Port Melbourne
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Western United II
2–3
L
17 Apr
vs Manningham United Blues
0–0
D
13 Apr
@ Brunswick City
3–0
W
27 Mar
vs Northcote City
3–0
W
21 Mar
@ Bulleen Lions
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Langwarrin and Melbourne Knights.
What is the prediction for Langwarrin vs Melbourne Knights?
Our pick is Melbourne Knights or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Langwarrin vs Melbourne Knights?
On our numbers Langwarrin have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Melbourne Knights 67%.
How many goals will there be in Langwarrin vs Melbourne Knights?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Langwarrin vs Melbourne Knights?
Our predicted score is Langwarrin 0–2 Melbourne Knights, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Langwarrin vs Melbourne Knights?
Langwarrin vs Melbourne Knights (Victoria NPL 2) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL 2 · Australia
Bulleen Lions0
Melbourne Srbija0