Port Melbourne vs Melbourne Srbija prediction & analysis
88%
Footrivo pick
Melbourne Srbija or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.13 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Melbourne Srbija to win @ 1.67 – our chance 67% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMelbourne Srbija to win ✗67% · @1.67
Double chanceMelbourne Srbija or draw ✗88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.54
Port Melbourne vs Melbourne Srbija preview and prediction
The match
Port Melbourne host Melbourne Srbija in the Victoria NPL 2 on Saturday 11 April, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Port Melbourne's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to North Sunshine Eagles 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Melbourne Srbija's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Manningham United Blues 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Melbourne Srbija arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.8 for Port Melbourne and 2.2 for Melbourne Srbija. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Port Melbourne 12%, draw 22%, Melbourne Srbija 67%.
Safer route: Melbourne Srbija or draw (88%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Melbourne Srbija to win at 1.67 – 67% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Melbourne Srbija or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.13, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Port Melbourne 0–2 Melbourne Srbija. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Port Melbourne12%fair 8.51 · @3.90
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.70
Melbourne Srbija67%fair 1.50 · @1.67
3.00Expected goals
0.83Port Melbourne xG
2.17Melbourne Srbija xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Port Melbourne 0.8 – 2.2 Melbourne Srbija expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Melbourne Srbija to win✗
67%
1.50
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Melbourne Srbija or draw✗
88%
1.13
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Melbourne Srbija ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Melbourne Srbija / FT Melbourne Srbija✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
12%
8.54
–
Form
Port Melbourne – last 6
LLDLLL
28 Mar
@ North Sunshine Eagles
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs North Geelong Warriors
0–2
L
13 Mar
vs Langwarrin
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Western United II
2–3
L
27 Feb
@ Brunswick City
0–5
L
20 Feb
vs Bulleen Lions
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Melbourne Srbija – last 6
WLLWLL
28 Mar
@ Manningham United Blues
2–1
W
21 Mar
vs Northcote City
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Melbourne Knights
0–2
L
7 Mar
vs North Sunshine Eagles
3–2
W
28 Feb
@ North Geelong Warriors
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Langwarrin
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Port Melbourne and Melbourne Srbija.
What is the prediction for Port Melbourne vs Melbourne Srbija?
Our pick is Melbourne Srbija or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Port Melbourne vs Melbourne Srbija?
On our numbers Port Melbourne have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Melbourne Srbija 67%.
How many goals will there be in Port Melbourne vs Melbourne Srbija?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Port Melbourne vs Melbourne Srbija?
Our predicted score is Port Melbourne 0–2 Melbourne Srbija, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Port Melbourne vs Melbourne Srbija?
Port Melbourne vs Melbourne Srbija (Victoria NPL 2) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL 2 · Australia
Eltham Redbacks FC3
North Sunshine Eagles2
Manningham United Blues0
Northcote City2
Bulleen Lions2
Western United II0