Melbourne Knights vs Northcote City prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNorthcote City to win ✗43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.43
Melbourne Knights vs Northcote City preview and prediction
The match
Northcote City travel to Knights Stadium in the Victoria NPL 2 on Friday 27 March (10:30 WAT) to face Melbourne Knights.
Form guide
Melbourne Knights's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Bulleen Lions 0–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Northcote City's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Melbourne Srbija 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Northcote City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for Melbourne Knights and 1.6 for Northcote City. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Melbourne Knights 37%, draw 21%, Northcote City 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Melbourne Knights 1–1 Northcote City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Melbourne Knights37%fair 2.73 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.80
Northcote City43%fair 2.35 · @2.15
3.08Expected goals
1.47Melbourne Knights xG
1.61Northcote City xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Melbourne Knights 1.5 – 1.6 Northcote City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Northcote City to win✗
43%
2.35
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Northcote City / FT Northcote City✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.43
–
Form
Melbourne Knights – last 6
LWWWWL
21 Mar
@ Bulleen Lions
0–2
L
13 Mar
vs Melbourne Srbija
2–0
W
6 Mar
@ Brunswick Juventus FC
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs North Sunshine Eagles
2–1
W
20 Feb
vs Melbourne Victory II
3–1
W
14 Feb
@ North Geelong Warriors
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Northcote City – last 6
WWWWWW
21 Mar
@ Melbourne Srbija
2–1
W
14 Mar
vs North Sunshine Eagles
2–1
W
6 Mar
vs North Geelong Warriors
3–0
W
27 Feb
@ Langwarrin
3–1
W
20 Feb
vs Western United II
4–1
W
13 Feb
@ Brunswick City
4–2
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Melbourne Knights and Northcote City.
What is the prediction for Melbourne Knights vs Northcote City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Melbourne Knights vs Northcote City?
On our numbers Melbourne Knights have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Northcote City 43%.
How many goals will there be in Melbourne Knights vs Northcote City?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Melbourne Knights vs Northcote City?
Our predicted score is Melbourne Knights 1–1 Northcote City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Melbourne Knights vs Northcote City?
Melbourne Knights vs Northcote City (Victoria NPL 2) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Knights Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.