Melbourne Srbija vs Northcote City prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Northcote City to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNorthcote City to win ✓64% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.63
Melbourne Srbija vs Northcote City preview and prediction
The match
The Victoria NPL 2 sees Melbourne Srbija take on Northcote City on Saturday 21 March, kicking off at 08:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Melbourne Srbija's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Melbourne Knights 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Northcote City's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat North Sunshine Eagles 2–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game.
Northcote City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.3 for Melbourne Srbija and 2.3 for Northcote City. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 70% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Melbourne Srbija 24%, draw 11%, Northcote City 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.36.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Northcote City to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Melbourne Srbija 1–2 Northcote City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Melbourne Srbija24%fair 4.09 · @3.30
Draw11%fair 9.00 · @4.20
Northcote City64%fair 1.55 · @1.70
3.60Expected goals
1.29Melbourne Srbija xG
2.31Northcote City xG
65%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–18%
0–27%
1–37%
0–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: Melbourne Srbija 1.3 – 2.3 Northcote City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Northcote City to win✓
64%
1.55
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
89%
1.13
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Northcote City ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Northcote City / FT Northcote City✓
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.63
–
Form
Melbourne Srbija – last 5
LWLLL
13 Mar
@ Melbourne Knights
0–2
L
7 Mar
vs North Sunshine Eagles
3–2
W
28 Feb
@ North Geelong Warriors
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Langwarrin
1–3
L
15 Feb
@ Western United II
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Northcote City – last 5
WWWWW
14 Mar
vs North Sunshine Eagles
2–1
W
6 Mar
vs North Geelong Warriors
3–0
W
27 Feb
@ Langwarrin
3–1
W
20 Feb
vs Western United II
4–1
W
13 Feb
@ Brunswick City
4–2
W
3.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Melbourne Srbija and Northcote City.
What is the prediction for Melbourne Srbija vs Northcote City?
Our pick is Northcote City to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Melbourne Srbija vs Northcote City?
On our numbers Melbourne Srbija have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Northcote City 64%.
How many goals will there be in Melbourne Srbija vs Northcote City?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Melbourne Srbija vs Northcote City?
Our predicted score is Melbourne Srbija 1–2 Northcote City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Melbourne Srbija vs Northcote City?
Melbourne Srbija vs Northcote City (Victoria NPL 2) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.