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Victoria NPL · Australia

Melbourne City II vs South Melbourne prediction & analysis

64%
Footrivo pick

South Melbourne to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.48Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSouth Melbourne to win ✓64% · @1.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.06

Melbourne City II vs South Melbourne preview and prediction

The match

The Victoria NPL sees Melbourne City II take on South Melbourne on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT).

Form guide

Melbourne City II's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Hume City 0–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.

South Melbourne's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Fremantle City 3–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

South Melbourne arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 1 May 2026, finished South Melbourne 1–2 Melbourne City II.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.0 for Melbourne City II and 2.1 for South Melbourne. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was South Melbourne to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Melbourne City II 1–2 South Melbourne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Melbourne City II19%fair 5.18 · @5.00
Draw17%fair 5.84 · @4.40
South Melbourne64%fair 1.57 · @1.48
3.11Expected goals
1.02Melbourne City II xG
2.09South Melbourne xG
59%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–210%
0–210%
1–110%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%

From our goals model: Melbourne City II 1.0 – 2.1 South Melbourne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSouth Melbourne to win ✓64%1.571.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83%1.211.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.57
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.631.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.671.62
Half-time resultSouth Melbourne ahead at half-time ✓46%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT South Melbourne / FT South Melbourne ✓40%2.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.06–

Form

Melbourne City II – last 6

LLLDWW
1 Aug@ Hume City0–1L
25 Julvs Avondale2–3L
18 Jul@ Sunshine Georgies0–1L
11 Julvs Heidelberg United2–2D
4 Jul@ Altona Magic3–0W
26 Jun@ St. Albans Saints2–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

South Melbourne – last 6

DWWWDW
9 Augvs Fremantle City3–3D
2 Augvs St. Albans Saints2–0W
30 Julvs Adelaide United2–1W
24 Jul@ Oakleigh Cannons2–1W
18 Julvs Preston Lions0–0D
10 Jul@ Dandenong City2–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 May 2026South Melbourne v Melbourne City II1–2
Melbourne City II vs South Melbourne head-to-head page →

More Victoria NPL predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Melbourne City II vs South Melbourne?

Our pick is South Melbourne to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Melbourne City II vs South Melbourne?

On our numbers Melbourne City II have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 17% and South Melbourne 64%.

How many goals will there be in Melbourne City II vs South Melbourne?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Melbourne City II vs South Melbourne?

Our predicted score is Melbourne City II 1–2 South Melbourne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Melbourne City II vs South Melbourne?

Melbourne City II vs South Melbourne (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.