Green Gully vs Melbourne City II prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Melbourne City II to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.68 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.68Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMelbourne City II to win ✓63% · @1.68
Double chanceMelbourne City II or draw ✓82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Green Gully vs Melbourne City II preview and prediction
The match
Green Gully host Melbourne City II in the Victoria NPL on Friday 15 May, with kick-off at 10:30 (WAT) at Green Gully Reserve.
Form guide
Green Gully's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to St. Albans Saints 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Melbourne City II's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Bentleigh Greens 7–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Melbourne City II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.0 for Green Gully and 2.0 for Melbourne City II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Green Gully 18%, draw 18%, Melbourne City II 63%.
Safer route: Melbourne City II or draw (82%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Melbourne City II to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.68, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Green Gully 0–2 Melbourne City II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Green Gully18%fair 5.50 · @4.20
Draw18%fair 5.43 · @3.80
Melbourne City II63%fair 1.58 · @1.68
3.02Expected goals
0.97Green Gully xG
2.05Melbourne City II xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
0–110%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Green Gully 1.0 – 2.0 Melbourne City II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Melbourne City II to win✓
63%
1.58
1.68 ▲
Double chance
Melbourne City II or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.48
Half-time result
Melbourne City II ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Melbourne City II / FT Melbourne City II✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.05
–
Form
Green Gully – last 6
LLLLDD
8 May
@ St. Albans Saints
0–1
L
1 May
vs Oakleigh Cannons
0–5
L
24 Apr
vs Preston Lions
0–4
L
17 Apr
@ Dandenong City
1–2
L
11 Apr
@ Dandenong Thunder
1–1
D
28 Mar
@ Altona Magic
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Melbourne City II – last 6
WWLLDD
8 May
@ Bentleigh Greens
7–0
W
1 May
@ South Melbourne
2–1
W
26 Apr
vs Hume City
0–1
L
18 Apr
@ Avondale
1–3
L
12 Apr
vs Sunshine Georgies
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Heidelberg United
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Green Gully and Melbourne City II.
What is the prediction for Green Gully vs Melbourne City II?
Our pick is Melbourne City II to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.68.
Who will win Green Gully vs Melbourne City II?
On our numbers Green Gully have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Melbourne City II 63%.
How many goals will there be in Green Gully vs Melbourne City II?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Green Gully vs Melbourne City II?
Our predicted score is Green Gully 0–2 Melbourne City II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Green Gully vs Melbourne City II?
Green Gully vs Melbourne City II (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Friday 15 May 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Green Gully Reserve.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia · Green Gully Reserve
Dandenong City1
Oakleigh Cannons1
Bentleigh Greens1
Heidelberg United0