Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.30 – our chance 53% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDandenong City to win ✗62% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.41
Dandenong City vs Melbourne City II preview and prediction
The match
The Victoria NPL sees Dandenong City take on Melbourne City II on Friday 20 February, kicking off at 09:45 (WAT) at Frank Holohan Soccer Complex.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.4 for Dandenong City and 0.6 for Melbourne City II. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 53% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dandenong City 62%, draw 18%, Melbourne City II 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.30 – 53% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.38, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Dandenong City 1–0 Melbourne City II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dandenong City62%fair 1.61 · @1.75
Draw18%fair 5.69 · @3.90
Melbourne City II20%fair 4.90 · @3.75
2.05Expected goals
1.44Dandenong City xG
0.61Melbourne City II xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–013%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Dandenong City 1.4 – 0.6 Melbourne City II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dandenong City to win✗
62%
1.61
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.21
1.23
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
2.30 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.53 ▲
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dandenong City / FT Dandenong City✗
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.41
–
Form
Dandenong City – last 1
D
14 Feb
@ St. Albans Saints
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Melbourne City II – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Dandenong Thunder
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dandenong City and Melbourne City II.
What is the prediction for Dandenong City vs Melbourne City II?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Dandenong City vs Melbourne City II?
On our numbers Dandenong City have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Melbourne City II 20%.
How many goals will there be in Dandenong City vs Melbourne City II?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dandenong City vs Melbourne City II?
Our predicted score is Dandenong City 1–0 Melbourne City II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Dandenong City vs Melbourne City II?
Dandenong City vs Melbourne City II (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 09:45 (West Africa Time) at Frank Holohan Soccer Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia · Frank Holohan Soccer Complex
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Avondale0
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St. Albans Saints0