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Victoria NPL · Australia

South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United prediction & analysis

64%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.60Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultHeidelberg United to win ✓39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 11.86

South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United preview and prediction

The match

The Victoria NPL sees South Melbourne take on Heidelberg United on Sunday 23 August, kicking off at 06:30 (WAT).

Form guide

South Melbourne's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Melbourne City II 3–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Heidelberg United's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Hume City 4–5 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

South Melbourne arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 8 May 2026, finished Heidelberg United 4–0 South Melbourne.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for South Melbourne and 1.5 for Heidelberg United. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 64%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: South Melbourne 1–1 Heidelberg United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

South Melbourne39%fair 2.60 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.40
Heidelberg United39%fair 2.56 · @2.30
2.96Expected goals
1.47South Melbourne xG
1.49Heidelberg United xG
64%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%

From our goals model: South Melbourne 1.5 – 1.5 Heidelberg United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHeidelberg United to win ✓39%2.562.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.571.60
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.76–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT Heidelberg United / FT Heidelberg United ✗22%4.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8%11.86–

Form

South Melbourne – last 6

WDWWWD
15 Aug@ Melbourne City II3–0W
9 Augvs Fremantle City3–3D
2 Augvs St. Albans Saints2–0W
30 Julvs Adelaide United2–1W
24 Jul@ Oakleigh Cannons2–1W
18 Julvs Preston Lions0–0D
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Heidelberg United – last 6

LDLDWD
15 Augvs Hume City4–5L
12 Aug@ North Sunshine Eagles0–0D
1 Aug@ Avondale1–2L
24 Julvs Sunshine Georgies0–0D
21 Jul@ Cumberland United3–0W
18 Jul@ Altona Magic0–0D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 May 2026Heidelberg United v South Melbourne4–0
South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United?

On our numbers South Melbourne have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Heidelberg United 39%.

How many goals will there be in South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United?

Our predicted score is South Melbourne 1–1 Heidelberg United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United?

South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 06:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.