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Victoria NPL · Australia

South Melbourne vs St. Albans Saints prediction & analysis

67%
Footrivo pick

South Melbourne to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.55Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSouth Melbourne to win ✓67% · @1.55
Double chanceSouth Melbourne or draw ✓89% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓11% · fair 8.83

South Melbourne vs St. Albans Saints preview and prediction

The match

The Victoria NPL sees South Melbourne take on St. Albans Saints on Sunday 2 August, kicking off at 06:30 (WAT).

Form guide

South Melbourne's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Adelaide United 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

St. Albans Saints's last 5: WDDDL Most recently they beat Hume City 3–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.

South Melbourne arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 24 April 2026, finished St. Albans Saints 0–4 South Melbourne.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for South Melbourne and 0.9 for St. Albans Saints. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was South Melbourne to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: South Melbourne 2–0 St. Albans Saints. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

South Melbourne67%fair 1.50 · @1.55
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @4.00
St. Albans Saints11%fair 9.13 · @4.75
3.10Expected goals
2.24South Melbourne xG
0.86St. Albans Saints xG
58%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: South Melbourne 2.2 – 0.9 St. Albans Saints expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSouth Melbourne to win ✓67%1.501.55
Double chanceSouth Melbourne or draw ✓89%1.121.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.711.50
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗61%1.641.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.671.62
Half-time resultSouth Melbourne ahead at half-time ✓50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT South Melbourne / FT South Melbourne ✓45%2.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓11%8.83–

Form

South Melbourne – last 6

WWDWWL
30 Julvs Adelaide United2–1W
24 Jul@ Oakleigh Cannons2–1W
18 Julvs Preston Lions0–0D
10 Jul@ Dandenong City2–0W
5 Julvs Dandenong Thunder1–0W
28 Junvs Green Gully1–2L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

St. Albans Saints – last 6

WDDDLW
24 Julvs Hume City3–2W
18 Jul@ Avondale1–1D
12 Julvs Sunshine Georgies2–2D
3 Jul@ Heidelberg United1–1D
26 Junvs Melbourne City II0–2L
21 Junvs Altona Magic2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Apr 2026St. Albans Saints v South Melbourne0–4
South Melbourne vs St. Albans Saints head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for South Melbourne vs St. Albans Saints?

Our pick is South Melbourne to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win South Melbourne vs St. Albans Saints?

On our numbers South Melbourne have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and St. Albans Saints 11%.

How many goals will there be in South Melbourne vs St. Albans Saints?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for South Melbourne vs St. Albans Saints?

Our predicted score is South Melbourne 2–0 St. Albans Saints, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is South Melbourne vs St. Albans Saints?

South Melbourne vs St. Albans Saints (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 06:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.