Value bet: Dandenong City to win @ 1.62 – our chance 65% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDandenong City to win ✗65% · @1.62
Double chanceDandenong City or draw ✗88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.29
Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong City preview and prediction
The match
Bentleigh Greens host Dandenong City in the Victoria NPL on Friday 17 July, with kick-off at 10:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Bentleigh Greens's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Dandenong Thunder 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Dandenong City's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to South Melbourne 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Dandenong City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 April 2026, finished Dandenong City 3–0 Bentleigh Greens.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.8 for Bentleigh Greens and 2.1 for Dandenong City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bentleigh Greens 12%, draw 22%, Dandenong City 65%.
Safer route: Dandenong City or draw (88%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Dandenong City to win at 1.62 – 65% on our numbers against 62% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Bentleigh Greens 0–2 Dandenong City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bentleigh Greens12%fair 8.29 · @4.50
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.95
Dandenong City65%fair 1.53 · @1.62
2.87Expected goals
0.80Bentleigh Greens xG
2.07Dandenong City xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Bentleigh Greens 0.8 – 2.1 Dandenong City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong City?
On our numbers Bentleigh Greens have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dandenong City 65%.
How many goals will there be in Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong City?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong City?
Our predicted score is Bentleigh Greens 0–2 Dandenong City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong City?
Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong City (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia
