Dandenong Thunder vs Bentleigh Greens prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Bentleigh Greens to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBentleigh Greens to win ✗60% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Dandenong Thunder vs Bentleigh Greens preview and prediction
The match
Bentleigh Greens travel to George Andrews Reserve in the Victoria NPL on Saturday 11 July (08:00 WAT) to face Dandenong Thunder.
Form guide
Dandenong Thunder's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to South Melbourne 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Bentleigh Greens's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Green Gully 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 March 2026, finished Bentleigh Greens 2–1 Dandenong Thunder.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.1 for Dandenong Thunder and 2.0 for Bentleigh Greens. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Bentleigh Greens to win at 1.95 – 60% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Dandenong Thunder 1–1 Bentleigh Greens. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dandenong Thunder22%fair 4.45 · @3.25
Draw18%fair 5.69 · @3.65
Bentleigh Greens60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
3.07Expected goals
1.09Dandenong Thunder xG
1.98Bentleigh Greens xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Dandenong Thunder 1.1 – 2.0 Bentleigh Greens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Dandenong Thunder vs Bentleigh Greens?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Dandenong Thunder vs Bentleigh Greens?
On our numbers Dandenong Thunder have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Bentleigh Greens 60%.
How many goals will there be in Dandenong Thunder vs Bentleigh Greens?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dandenong Thunder vs Bentleigh Greens?
Our predicted score is Dandenong Thunder 1–1 Bentleigh Greens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Dandenong Thunder vs Bentleigh Greens?
Dandenong Thunder vs Bentleigh Greens (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at George Andrews Reserve.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia · George Andrews Reserve
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