South Melbourne vs Green Gully prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSouth Melbourne to win ✗63% · @1.36
Double chanceSouth Melbourne or draw ✗84% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.73
South Melbourne vs Green Gully preview and prediction
The match
The Victoria NPL sees South Melbourne take on Green Gully on Sunday 28 June, kicking off at 06:30 (WAT).
Form guide
South Melbourne's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Bentleigh Greens 5–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Green Gully's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Hume City 2–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
South Melbourne arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 March 2026, finished Green Gully 0–1 South Melbourne.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for South Melbourne and 1.0 for Green Gully. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: South Melbourne 63%, draw 21%, Green Gully 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: South Melbourne 2–1 Green Gully. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
South Melbourne63%fair 1.58 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @4.40
Green Gully16%fair 6.28 · @7.25
3.07Expected goals
2.11South Melbourne xG
0.97Green Gully xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: South Melbourne 2.1 – 1.0 Green Gully expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for South Melbourne vs Green Gully?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win South Melbourne vs Green Gully?
On our numbers South Melbourne have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Green Gully 16%.
How many goals will there be in South Melbourne vs Green Gully?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for South Melbourne vs Green Gully?
Our predicted score is South Melbourne 2–1 Green Gully, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is South Melbourne vs Green Gully?
South Melbourne vs Green Gully (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 06:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia
