Value bet: Hume City to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHume City to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.55
Bentleigh Greens vs Hume City preview and prediction
The match
Hume City travel to face Bentleigh Greens in the Victoria NPL on Friday 5 June (11:30 WAT).
Form guide
Bentleigh Greens's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Avondale 0–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Hume City's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with South Melbourne 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Hume City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 February 2026, finished Hume City 1–0 Bentleigh Greens.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.0 for Bentleigh Greens and 1.9 for Hume City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bentleigh Greens 21%, draw 16%, Hume City 63%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Hume City to win at 1.80 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Bentleigh Greens 1–1 Hume City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bentleigh Greens21%fair 4.71 · @3.65
Draw16%fair 6.15 · @3.65
Hume City63%fair 1.60 · @1.80
2.92Expected goals
0.98Bentleigh Greens xG
1.94Hume City xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–110%
1–110%
0–210%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Bentleigh Greens 1.0 – 1.9 Hume City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bentleigh Greens vs Hume City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bentleigh Greens vs Hume City?
On our numbers Bentleigh Greens have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Hume City 63%.
How many goals will there be in Bentleigh Greens vs Hume City?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bentleigh Greens vs Hume City?
Our predicted score is Bentleigh Greens 1–1 Hume City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Bentleigh Greens vs Hume City?
Bentleigh Greens vs Hume City (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Friday 5 June 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia
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Oakleigh Cannons2
St. Albans Saints2