Double chanceSunshine Georgies or draw ✓91% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.55
South Melbourne vs Sunshine Georgies preview and prediction
The match
South Melbourne host Sunshine Georgies in the Victoria NPL on Monday 18 May, with kick-off at 10:30 (WAT).
Form guide
South Melbourne's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Bula 4–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Sunshine Georgies's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Hume City 2–4 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.5 conceded.
South Melbourne arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.8 for South Melbourne and 2.3 for Sunshine Georgies. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: South Melbourne 9%, draw 23%, Sunshine Georgies 69%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sunshine Georgies to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: South Melbourne 0–2 Sunshine Georgies. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
South Melbourne9%fair 11.73 · @7.20
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @4.80
Sunshine Georgies69%fair 1.45 · @1.33
3.02Expected goals
0.76South Melbourne xG
2.26Sunshine Georgies xG
57%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–111%
1–29%
0–39%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: South Melbourne 0.8 – 2.3 Sunshine Georgies expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sunshine Georgies to win✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Double chance
Sunshine Georgies or draw✓
91%
1.09
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.55
Half-time result
Sunshine Georgies ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sunshine Georgies / FT Sunshine Georgies✓
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.55
–
Form
South Melbourne – last 6
WWLWLW
12 May
vs Bula
4–2
W
9 May
vs South Island United
4–2
W
8 May
@ Heidelberg United
0–4
L
6 May
@ Auckland FC 2
2–1
W
1 May
vs Melbourne City II
1–2
L
24 Apr
@ St. Albans Saints
4–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sunshine Georgies – last 6
LLDLDW
9 May
vs Hume City
2–4
L
2 May
@ Avondale
2–5
L
25 Apr
vs Altona Magic
1–1
D
18 Apr
vs Heidelberg United
0–3
L
12 Apr
@ Melbourne City II
1–1
D
28 Mar
vs St. Albans Saints
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between South Melbourne and Sunshine Georgies.
What is the prediction for South Melbourne vs Sunshine Georgies?
Our pick is Sunshine Georgies to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win South Melbourne vs Sunshine Georgies?
On our numbers South Melbourne have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sunshine Georgies 69%.
How many goals will there be in South Melbourne vs Sunshine Georgies?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for South Melbourne vs Sunshine Georgies?
Our predicted score is South Melbourne 0–2 Sunshine Georgies, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is South Melbourne vs Sunshine Georgies?
South Melbourne vs Sunshine Georgies (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia
