Sunshine Georgies vs Hume City prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Hume City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Hume City to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHume City to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceHume City or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.43
Sunshine Georgies vs Hume City preview and prediction
The match
The Victoria NPL sees Sunshine Georgies take on Hume City on Saturday 9 May, kicking off at 09:00 (WAT) at City Vista Recreation Reserve.
Form guide
Sunshine Georgies's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Avondale 2–5 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Hume City's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Heidelberg United 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Hume City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for Sunshine Georgies and 1.9 for Hume City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sunshine Georgies 17%, draw 23%, Hume City 60%.
Safer route: Hume City or draw (83%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Hume City to win at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hume City or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sunshine Georgies 0–1 Hume City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sunshine Georgies17%fair 5.76 · @3.70
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.60
Hume City60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
2.75Expected goals
0.89Sunshine Georgies xG
1.86Hume City xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%
From our goals model: Sunshine Georgies 0.9 – 1.9 Hume City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hume City to win✓
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Hume City or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.40
Half-time result
Hume City ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hume City / FT Hume City✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.43
–
Form
Sunshine Georgies – last 6
LDLDWL
2 May
@ Avondale
2–5
L
25 Apr
vs Altona Magic
1–1
D
18 Apr
vs Heidelberg United
0–3
L
12 Apr
@ Melbourne City II
1–1
D
28 Mar
vs St. Albans Saints
2–1
W
20 Mar
@ Oakleigh Cannons
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hume City – last 6
WWLLWD
2 May
vs Heidelberg United
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Melbourne City II
1–0
W
18 Apr
vs St. Albans Saints
0–1
L
11 Apr
@ Oakleigh Cannons
2–3
L
28 Mar
vs Preston Lions
3–2
W
20 Mar
@ Dandenong City
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sunshine Georgies and Hume City.
What is the prediction for Sunshine Georgies vs Hume City?
Our pick is Hume City or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sunshine Georgies vs Hume City?
On our numbers Sunshine Georgies have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hume City 60%.
How many goals will there be in Sunshine Georgies vs Hume City?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sunshine Georgies vs Hume City?
Our predicted score is Sunshine Georgies 0–1 Hume City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sunshine Georgies vs Hume City?
Sunshine Georgies vs Hume City (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at City Vista Recreation Reserve.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia · City Vista Recreation Reserve
Avondale5
Altona Magic1