Heidelberg United vs South Melbourne prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHeidelberg United to win ✓77% · @1.10
Double chanceHeidelberg United or draw ✓96% · fair 1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.25
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15% · fair 6.76
Heidelberg United vs South Melbourne preview and prediction
The match
South Melbourne travel to Olympic Park Stadium in the Victoria NPL on Friday 8 May (10:30 WAT) to face Heidelberg United.
Form guide
Heidelberg United's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Hume City 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
South Melbourne's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Auckland FC 2 2–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.5 for Heidelberg United and 0.6 for South Melbourne. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 47% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Heidelberg United 77%, draw 19%, South Melbourne 4%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.25.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Heidelberg United 2–0 South Melbourne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Heidelberg United77%fair 1.29 · @1.10
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @6.20
South Melbourne4%fair 24.29 · @34.00
3.03Expected goals
2.48Heidelberg United xG
0.55South Melbourne xG
47%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–015%
3–012%
1–012%
2–18%
4–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Heidelberg United 2.5 – 0.6 South Melbourne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heidelberg United to win✓
77%
1.29
1.10
Double chance
Heidelberg United or draw✓
96%
1.04
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.25
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.62
Half-time result
Heidelberg United ahead at half-time✓
58%
1.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heidelberg United / FT Heidelberg United✓
55%
1.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
15%
6.76
–
Form
Heidelberg United – last 6
LWWDDL
2 May
@ Hume City
1–2
L
24 Apr
vs Avondale
2–1
W
18 Apr
@ Sunshine Georgies
3–0
W
11 Apr
vs Altona Magic
2–2
D
27 Mar
vs Melbourne City II
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ St. Albans Saints
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
South Melbourne – last 6
WLWWLL
6 May
@ Auckland FC 2
2–1
W
1 May
vs Melbourne City II
1–2
L
24 Apr
@ St. Albans Saints
4–0
W
21 Apr
vs Tahiti United
8–1
W
19 Apr
vs Oakleigh Cannons
0–3
L
18 Apr
vs Hekari United
1–2
L
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heidelberg United and South Melbourne.
What is the prediction for Heidelberg United vs South Melbourne?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Heidelberg United vs South Melbourne?
On our numbers Heidelberg United have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 19% and South Melbourne 4%.
How many goals will there be in Heidelberg United vs South Melbourne?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heidelberg United vs South Melbourne?
Our predicted score is Heidelberg United 2–0 South Melbourne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Heidelberg United vs South Melbourne?
Heidelberg United vs South Melbourne (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Olympic Park Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia · Olympic Park Stadium
St. Albans Saints1
Green Gully0
Oakleigh Cannons2
Dandenong Thunder0
Preston Lions1
Dandenong City0