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Victoria NPL · Australia · Churchill Reserve

St. Albans Saints vs South Melbourne prediction & analysis

66%
Footrivo pick

South Melbourne to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.64 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.64Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSouth Melbourne to win ✓66% · @1.64
Double chanceSouth Melbourne or draw ✓87% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.33

St. Albans Saints vs South Melbourne preview and prediction

The match

St. Albans Saints host South Melbourne in the Victoria NPL on Friday 24 April, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Churchill Reserve.

Form guide

St. Albans Saints's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Hume City 1–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

South Melbourne's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Tahiti United 8–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.8 for St. Albans Saints and 2.1 for South Melbourne. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was South Melbourne to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.64, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: St. Albans Saints 0–2 South Melbourne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

St. Albans Saints13%fair 7.52 · @4.50
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.80
South Melbourne66%fair 1.51 · @1.64
2.89Expected goals
0.81St. Albans Saints xG
2.08South Melbourne xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%

From our goals model: St. Albans Saints 0.8 – 2.1 South Melbourne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSouth Melbourne to win ✓66%1.511.64 ▲
Double chanceSouth Melbourne or draw ✓87%1.151.13
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.651.57
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.271.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.771.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.541.48
Half-time resultSouth Melbourne ahead at half-time ✓48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT South Melbourne / FT South Melbourne ✓43%2.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12%8.33–

Form

St. Albans Saints – last 6

WLLWLW
18 Apr@ Hume City1–0W
10 Aprvs Avondale2–3L
28 Mar@ Sunshine Georgies1–2L
22 Marvs Heidelberg United2–1W
14 Mar@ Melbourne City II0–5L
7 Mar@ Altona Magic1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

South Melbourne – last 6

WLLWLW
21 Aprvs Tahiti United8–1W
19 Aprvs Oakleigh Cannons0–3L
18 Aprvs Hekari United1–2L
15 Aprvs Bula2–0W
12 Apr@ Auckland FC 22–3L
11 Apr@ Preston Lions3–0W
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between St. Albans Saints and South Melbourne.

St. Albans Saints vs South Melbourne head-to-head page →

More Victoria NPL predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St. Albans Saints vs South Melbourne?

Our pick is South Melbourne to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.64.

Who will win St. Albans Saints vs South Melbourne?

On our numbers St. Albans Saints have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 20% and South Melbourne 66%.

How many goals will there be in St. Albans Saints vs South Melbourne?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for St. Albans Saints vs South Melbourne?

Our predicted score is St. Albans Saints 0–2 South Melbourne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is St. Albans Saints vs South Melbourne?

St. Albans Saints vs South Melbourne (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Churchill Reserve.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.