South Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons preview and prediction
The match
South Melbourne host Oakleigh Cannons in the Victoria NPL on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 06:30 (WAT).
Form guide
South Melbourne's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Hekari United 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Oakleigh Cannons's last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat Hume City 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.3 for South Melbourne and 1.7 for Oakleigh Cannons. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: South Melbourne 32%, draw 21%, Oakleigh Cannons 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: South Melbourne 1–1 Oakleigh Cannons. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
South Melbourne32%fair 3.17 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.40
Oakleigh Cannons48%fair 2.09 · @2.05
2.98Expected goals
1.31South Melbourne xG
1.68Oakleigh Cannons xG
64%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: South Melbourne 1.3 – 1.7 Oakleigh Cannons expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oakleigh Cannons to win✓
48%
2.09
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oakleigh Cannons / FT Oakleigh Cannons✓
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.76
–
Form
South Melbourne – last 6
LWLWWL
18 Apr
vs Hekari United
1–2
L
15 Apr
vs Bula
2–0
W
12 Apr
@ Auckland FC 2
2–3
L
11 Apr
@ Preston Lions
3–0
W
31 Mar
vs Dandenong City
4–2
W
21 Mar
@ Dandenong Thunder
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Oakleigh Cannons – last 6
WDWLDW
11 Apr
vs Hume City
3–2
W
28 Mar
@ Avondale
1–1
D
20 Mar
vs Sunshine Georgies
2–1
W
13 Mar
vs Heidelberg United
2–3
L
8 Mar
@ Melbourne City II
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ St. Albans Saints
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between South Melbourne and Oakleigh Cannons.
What is the prediction for South Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win South Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons?
On our numbers South Melbourne have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Oakleigh Cannons 48%.
How many goals will there be in South Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for South Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons?
Our predicted score is South Melbourne 1–1 Oakleigh Cannons, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is South Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons?
South Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 06:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia
