Value bet: Bentleigh Greens to win @ 2.85 – our chance 40% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBentleigh Greens to win ✗40% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Bentleigh Greens vs Preston Lions preview and prediction
The match
The Victoria NPL sees Bentleigh Greens take on Preston Lions on Friday 17 April, kicking off at 10:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Bentleigh Greens's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Dandenong City 0–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Preston Lions's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to South Melbourne 0–3 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Bentleigh Greens and 1.3 for Preston Lions. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Bentleigh Greens to win at 2.85 – 40% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Bentleigh Greens 1–1 Preston Lions. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bentleigh Greens40%fair 2.52 · @2.85
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.30
Preston Lions37%fair 2.68 · @2.25
2.59Expected goals
1.32Bentleigh Greens xG
1.27Preston Lions xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Bentleigh Greens 1.3 – 1.3 Preston Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bentleigh Greens to win✗
40%
2.52
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bentleigh Greens / FT Bentleigh Greens✗
22%
4.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.08
–
Form
Bentleigh Greens – last 6
LWWWLL
11 Apr
@ Dandenong City
0–3
L
27 Mar
vs Dandenong Thunder
2–1
W
20 Mar
vs Green Gully
4–0
W
14 Mar
@ Altona Magic
2–0
W
7 Mar
@ South Melbourne
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Hume City
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Preston Lions – last 6
LLWDLW
11 Apr
vs South Melbourne
0–3
L
28 Mar
@ Hume City
2–3
L
20 Mar
vs Avondale
2–1
W
13 Mar
vs Sunshine Georgies
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Heidelberg United
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Melbourne City II
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bentleigh Greens and Preston Lions.
What is the prediction for Bentleigh Greens vs Preston Lions?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Bentleigh Greens vs Preston Lions?
On our numbers Bentleigh Greens have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Preston Lions 37%.
How many goals will there be in Bentleigh Greens vs Preston Lions?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bentleigh Greens vs Preston Lions?
Our predicted score is Bentleigh Greens 1–1 Preston Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Bentleigh Greens vs Preston Lions?
Bentleigh Greens vs Preston Lions (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia
Dandenong City2
Green Gully1