South Melbourne vs Dandenong City prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
South Melbourne to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.64 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.64Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSouth Melbourne to win ✓66% · @1.64
Double chanceSouth Melbourne or draw ✓89% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.17
South Melbourne vs Dandenong City preview and prediction
The match
South Melbourne host Dandenong City in the Victoria NPL on Tuesday 31 March, with kick-off at 09:30 (WAT).
Form guide
South Melbourne's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Dandenong Thunder 0–3 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dandenong City's last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with Hume City 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
South Melbourne arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.0 for South Melbourne and 0.7 for Dandenong City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: South Melbourne 66%, draw 23%, Dandenong City 11%.
Safer route: South Melbourne or draw (89%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was South Melbourne to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.64, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: South Melbourne 1–0 Dandenong City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
South Melbourne66%fair 1.51 · @1.64
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.80
Dandenong City11%fair 9.25 · @4.50
2.64Expected goals
1.96South Melbourne xG
0.68Dandenong City xG
53%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: South Melbourne 2.0 – 0.7 Dandenong City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
South Melbourne to win✓
66%
1.51
1.64 ▲
Double chance
South Melbourne or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.40
Half-time result
South Melbourne ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT South Melbourne / FT South Melbourne✗
44%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.17
–
Form
South Melbourne – last 6
LLWWWW
21 Mar
@ Dandenong Thunder
0–3
L
15 Mar
@ Vanuatu United
0–2
L
13 Mar
@ Green Gully
1–0
W
7 Mar
vs Bentleigh Greens
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs Solomon Kings
5–0
W
28 Feb
@ Altona Magic
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dandenong City – last 6
DLDWLD
20 Mar
vs Hume City
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Avondale
1–4
L
6 Mar
vs Sunshine Georgies
0–0
D
27 Feb
@ Heidelberg United
2–1
W
20 Feb
vs Melbourne City II
2–4
L
14 Feb
@ St. Albans Saints
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between South Melbourne and Dandenong City.
What is the prediction for South Melbourne vs Dandenong City?
Our pick is South Melbourne to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.64.
Who will win South Melbourne vs Dandenong City?
On our numbers South Melbourne have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dandenong City 11%.
How many goals will there be in South Melbourne vs Dandenong City?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for South Melbourne vs Dandenong City?
Our predicted score is South Melbourne 1–0 Dandenong City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is South Melbourne vs Dandenong City?
South Melbourne vs Dandenong City (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia
