Value bet: Preston Lions to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPreston Lions to win ✗43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.90
Hume City vs Preston Lions preview and prediction
The match
Preston Lions travel to face Hume City in the Victoria NPL on Saturday 28 March (04:00 WAT).
Form guide
Hume City's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Dandenong City 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Preston Lions's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Avondale 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Hume City and 1.4 for Preston Lions. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hume City 35%, draw 22%, Preston Lions 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Preston Lions to win at 2.50 – 43% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Hume City 1–1 Preston Lions. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hume City35%fair 2.87 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Preston Lions43%fair 2.30 · @2.50
2.64Expected goals
1.23Hume City xG
1.41Preston Lions xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Hume City 1.2 – 1.4 Preston Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Preston Lions to win✗
43%
2.30
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Preston Lions / FT Preston Lions✗
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.90
–
Form
Hume City – last 6
DWDWWL
20 Mar
@ Dandenong City
1–1
D
14 Mar
vs Dandenong Thunder
3–1
W
6 Mar
@ Green Gully
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs Bentleigh Greens
1–0
W
19 Feb
@ South Melbourne
2–1
W
13 Feb
vs Altona Magic
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Preston Lions – last 6
WDLWWW
20 Mar
vs Avondale
2–1
W
13 Mar
vs Sunshine Georgies
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Heidelberg United
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Melbourne City II
3–0
W
20 Feb
vs St. Albans Saints
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Oakleigh Cannons
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hume City and Preston Lions.
What is the prediction for Hume City vs Preston Lions?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Hume City vs Preston Lions?
On our numbers Hume City have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Preston Lions 43%.
How many goals will there be in Hume City vs Preston Lions?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hume City vs Preston Lions?
Our predicted score is Hume City 1–1 Preston Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Hume City vs Preston Lions?
Hume City vs Preston Lions (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia
Avondale1
Oakleigh Cannons1
Sunshine Georgies2
St. Albans Saints1
Altona Magic1
Green Gully1