Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong Thunder preview and prediction
The match
Bentleigh Greens host Dandenong Thunder in the Victoria NPL on Friday 27 March, with kick-off at 09:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Bentleigh Greens's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Green Gully 4–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dandenong Thunder's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat South Melbourne 3–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Bentleigh Greens arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Bentleigh Greens and 0.9 for Dandenong Thunder. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Bentleigh Greens 1–1 Dandenong Thunder. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bentleigh Greens45%fair 2.22 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.30
Dandenong Thunder34%fair 2.94 · @2.62
2.00Expected goals
1.11Bentleigh Greens xG
0.89Dandenong Thunder xG
54%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Bentleigh Greens 1.1 – 0.9 Dandenong Thunder expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bentleigh Greens to win✓
45%
2.22
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bentleigh Greens / FT Bentleigh Greens✓
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.68
–
Form
Bentleigh Greens – last 6
WWLLWD
20 Mar
vs Green Gully
4–0
W
14 Mar
@ Altona Magic
2–0
W
7 Mar
@ South Melbourne
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Hume City
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Avondale
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ Sunshine Georgies
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Dandenong Thunder – last 6
WLLLLD
21 Mar
vs South Melbourne
3–0
W
14 Mar
@ Hume City
1–3
L
7 Mar
vs Avondale
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Sunshine Georgies
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Heidelberg United
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Melbourne City II
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bentleigh Greens and Dandenong Thunder.
What is the prediction for Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong Thunder?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong Thunder?
On our numbers Bentleigh Greens have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dandenong Thunder 34%.
How many goals will there be in Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong Thunder?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong Thunder?
Our predicted score is Bentleigh Greens 1–1 Dandenong Thunder, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong Thunder?
Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong Thunder (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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