Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Hume City to win @ 2.90 – our chance 42% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHume City to win ✗42% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.41
Green Gully vs Hume City preview and prediction
The match
Green Gully host Hume City in the Victoria NPL on Friday 6 March, with kick-off at 09:30 (WAT) at Green Gully Reserve.
Form guide
Green Gully's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Avondale 0–5 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Hume City's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Bentleigh Greens 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Hume City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Green Gully and 1.6 for Hume City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Green Gully 36%, draw 22%, Hume City 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Hume City to win at 2.90 – 42% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Green Gully 1–1 Hume City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Green Gully36%fair 2.79 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.50
Hume City42%fair 2.39 · @2.90
3.00Expected goals
1.43Green Gully xG
1.57Hume City xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Green Gully 1.4 – 1.6 Hume City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hume City to win✗
42%
2.39
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hume City / FT Hume City✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.41
–
Form
Green Gully – last 3
LLL
28 Feb
@ Avondale
0–5
L
20 Feb
vs Sunshine Georgies
0–2
L
13 Feb
@ Heidelberg United
1–2
L
0.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hume City – last 3
WWL
28 Feb
vs Bentleigh Greens
1–0
W
19 Feb
@ South Melbourne
2–1
W
13 Feb
vs Altona Magic
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Green Gully and Hume City.
What is the prediction for Green Gully vs Hume City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Green Gully vs Hume City?
On our numbers Green Gully have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hume City 42%.
How many goals will there be in Green Gully vs Hume City?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Green Gully vs Hume City?
Our predicted score is Green Gully 1–1 Hume City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Green Gully vs Hume City?
Green Gully vs Hume City (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Green Gully Reserve.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia · Green Gully Reserve
Dandenong City0
Sunshine Georgies0