South Melbourne vs Hume City preview and prediction
The match
The Victoria NPL sees South Melbourne take on Hume City on Thursday 19 February, kicking off at 09:30 (WAT) at Lakeside Stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for South Melbourne and 0.8 for Hume City. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: South Melbourne 68%, draw 18%, Hume City 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: South Melbourne 2–0 Hume City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
South Melbourne68%fair 1.47 · @1.55
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @3.80
Hume City13%fair 7.43 · @5.20
2.93Expected goals
2.13South Melbourne xG
0.81Hume City xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: South Melbourne 2.1 – 0.8 Hume City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
South Melbourne to win✗
68%
1.47
1.55 ▲
Double chance
South Melbourne or draw✗
87%
1.16
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.42
Half-time result
South Melbourne ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT South Melbourne / FT South Melbourne✗
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.32
–
Form
South Melbourne – last 1
W
14 Feb
@ Avondale
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Hume City – last 1
L
13 Feb
vs Altona Magic
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between South Melbourne and Hume City.
What is the prediction for South Melbourne vs Hume City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win South Melbourne vs Hume City?
On our numbers South Melbourne have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Hume City 13%.
How many goals will there be in South Melbourne vs Hume City?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for South Melbourne vs Hume City?
Our predicted score is South Melbourne 2–0 Hume City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is South Melbourne vs Hume City?
South Melbourne vs Hume City (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Thursday 19 February 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Lakeside Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia · Lakeside Stadium
