Tallinna Kalev II vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21 prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Either team to win
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
–Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultParnu JK Vaprus U21 to win ✗48% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · fair 1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.61
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗6% · fair 16.95
Tallinna Kalev II vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21 preview and prediction
The match
Tallinna Kalev II host Parnu JK Vaprus U21 in the Esiliiga B on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 10:30 (WAT). Tallinna Kalev II are 9th with 33 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Parnu JK Vaprus U21 sit 6th on 53 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tallinna Kalev II's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Tulevik 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Parnu JK Vaprus U21's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Legion 12–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 5.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 September 2026, finished Parnu JK Vaprus U21 7–0 Tallinna Kalev II. Across their last 3 meetings Tallinna Kalev II have won 0, Parnu JK Vaprus U21 2, with 1 draw and 5.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.9 goals: 2.2 for Tallinna Kalev II and 2.6 for Parnu JK Vaprus U21. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 87% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tallinna Kalev II 34%, draw 18%, Parnu JK Vaprus U21 48%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 82% chance. Predicted score: Tallinna Kalev II 1–2 Parnu JK Vaprus U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tallinna Kalev II34%fair 2.91 · @2.30
Draw18%fair 5.67 · @4.00
Parnu JK Vaprus U2148%fair 2.08 · @2.20
4.89Expected goals
2.25Tallinna Kalev II xG
2.64Parnu JK Vaprus U21 xG
62%Both score
87%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
1–26%
2–36%
1–35%
2–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: Tallinna Kalev II 2.2 – 2.6 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tallinna Kalev II vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 82% chance.
Who will win Tallinna Kalev II vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21?
On our numbers Tallinna Kalev II have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Parnu JK Vaprus U21 48%.
How many goals will there be in Tallinna Kalev II vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21?
We expect about 4.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 87% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tallinna Kalev II vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21?
Our predicted score is Tallinna Kalev II 1–2 Parnu JK Vaprus U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.9 goals in total.
When is Tallinna Kalev II vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21?
Tallinna Kalev II vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21 (Esiliiga B) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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