Value bet: Tulevik to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTulevik to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.31
Tulevik vs Tartu Kalev preview and prediction
The match
The Esiliiga B sees Tulevik take on Tartu Kalev on Saturday 26 September, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT). Tulevik are 5th with 56 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Tartu Kalev sit 7th on 50 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Tulevik's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Levadia U19 5–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Tartu Kalev's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Parnu JK Vaprus U21 4–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Tartu Kalev arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 August 2026, finished Tartu Kalev 4–2 Tulevik. Across their last 3 meetings Tulevik have won 1, Tartu Kalev 2, with 0 draws and 5.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 3 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 2.6 for Tulevik and 1.6 for Tartu Kalev. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 77% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tulevik 61%, draw 12%, Tartu Kalev 27%.
Value angle: Tulevik to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Tulevik 2–1 Tartu Kalev. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tulevik61%fair 1.64 · @1.95
Draw12%fair 8.03 · @4.20
Tartu Kalev27%fair 3.75 · @2.75
4.18Expected goals
2.55Tulevik xG
1.62Tartu Kalev xG
58%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–17%
2–27%
1–16%
3–26%
1–25%
From our goals model: Tulevik 2.6 – 1.6 Tartu Kalev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tulevik vs Tartu Kalev?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tulevik vs Tartu Kalev?
On our numbers Tulevik have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Tartu Kalev 27%.
How many goals will there be in Tulevik vs Tartu Kalev?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tulevik vs Tartu Kalev?
Our predicted score is Tulevik 2–1 Tartu Kalev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Tulevik vs Tartu Kalev?
Tulevik vs Tartu Kalev (Esiliiga B) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
