Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 13.01
Legion vs Tartu Kalev preview and prediction
The match
Tartu Kalev travel to face Legion in the Esiliiga B on Thursday 10 September (15:45 WAT). Legion are 10th with 19 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Tartu Kalev sit 7th on 50 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 31 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Legion's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Tulevik 0–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Tartu Kalev's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Narva U21 0–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Tartu Kalev arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 July 2026, finished Tartu Kalev 10–2 Legion. Across their last 2 meetings Legion have won 0, Tartu Kalev 2, with 0 draws and 9.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.5 goals: 1.4 for Legion and 3.0 for Tartu Kalev. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 82% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Legion 13%, draw 19%, Tartu Kalev 68%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tartu Kalev to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Legion 1–3 Tartu Kalev. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Legion13%fair 7.56 · @7.50
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @5.50
Tartu Kalev68%fair 1.47 · @1.25
4.46Expected goals
1.42Legion xG
3.04Tartu Kalev xG
57%Both score
82%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–38%
1–28%
1–46%
2–35%
0–35%
2–25%
From our goals model: Legion 1.4 – 3.0 Tartu Kalev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Tartu Kalev to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Legion vs Tartu Kalev?
On our numbers Legion have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Tartu Kalev 68%.
How many goals will there be in Legion vs Tartu Kalev?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 82% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Legion vs Tartu Kalev?
Our predicted score is Legion 1–3 Tartu Kalev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Legion vs Tartu Kalev?
Legion vs Tartu Kalev (Esiliiga B) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 15:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.