Value bet: Narva U21 to win @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNarva U21 to win ✓59% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.66
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.66
Tartu Kalev vs Narva U21 preview and prediction
The match
Tartu Kalev host Narva U21 in the Esiliiga B on Sunday 6 September, with kick-off at 10:30 (WAT). Tartu Kalev are 7th with 50 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Narva U21 sit 1st on 76 points (top of the table). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tartu Kalev's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Johvi Phoenix 3–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Narva U21's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat JK Tabasalu 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 June 2026, finished Narva U21 3–2 Tartu Kalev.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.5 for Tartu Kalev and 2.4 for Narva U21. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 74% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tartu Kalev 26%, draw 15%, Narva U21 59%.
Value angle: Narva U21 to win at 1.80 – 59% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Tartu Kalev 1–2 Narva U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tartu Kalev26%fair 3.82 · @3.00
Draw15%fair 6.82 · @4.33
Narva U2159%fair 1.69 · @1.80
3.97Expected goals
1.55Tartu Kalev xG
2.42Narva U21 xG
60%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–17%
1–37%
2–27%
0–26%
2–15%
From our goals model: Tartu Kalev 1.5 – 2.4 Narva U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tartu Kalev vs Narva U21?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Tartu Kalev vs Narva U21?
On our numbers Tartu Kalev have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Narva U21 59%.
How many goals will there be in Tartu Kalev vs Narva U21?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tartu Kalev vs Narva U21?
Our predicted score is Tartu Kalev 1–2 Narva U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Tartu Kalev vs Narva U21?
Tartu Kalev vs Narva U21 (Esiliiga B) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Johvi Phoenix2