Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Tartu Kalev to win @ 3.90 – our chance 49% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +91%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTartu Kalev to win ✓49% · @3.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · fair 1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · fair 1.60
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.09
Tartu Kalev vs JK Tabasalu preview and prediction
The match
The Esiliiga B sees Tartu Kalev take on JK Tabasalu on Saturday 1 August, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Tartu Kalev are 7th with 50 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while JK Tabasalu sit 8th on 38 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tartu Kalev's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Kuusalu Kalev 7–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 4.7 per game.
JK Tabasalu's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Tamper 0–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Tartu Kalev arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 June 2026, finished JK Tabasalu 3–1 Tartu Kalev.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 2.3 for Tartu Kalev and 2.0 for JK Tabasalu. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tartu Kalev 49%, draw 13%, JK Tabasalu 38%.
Value angle: Tartu Kalev to win at 3.90 – 49% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Tartu Kalev 2–2 JK Tabasalu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tartu Kalev49%fair 2.04 · @3.90
Draw13%fair 7.50 · @4.75
JK Tabasalu38%fair 2.65 · @1.53
4.34Expected goals
2.32Tartu Kalev xG
2.02JK Tabasalu xG
63%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
2–17%
1–26%
1–16%
3–26%
3–15%
From our goals model: Tartu Kalev 2.3 – 2.0 JK Tabasalu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tartu Kalev vs JK Tabasalu?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tartu Kalev vs JK Tabasalu?
On our numbers Tartu Kalev have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 13% and JK Tabasalu 38%.
How many goals will there be in Tartu Kalev vs JK Tabasalu?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tartu Kalev vs JK Tabasalu?
Our predicted score is Tartu Kalev 2–2 JK Tabasalu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Tartu Kalev vs JK Tabasalu?
Tartu Kalev vs JK Tabasalu (Esiliiga B) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
